Ken Hoffman bets against ESPN 97.5 host's 3-point shootout success
UPDATE: Official results: Raheel made 11 of 25 shots, and the over/under was 13-1/2 ... so "Under" won the bet.
There also was a prop bet: "Will Raheel make three shots in a row during the shootaround?" He did not. So "No" won the bet.
"I am disappointed that I didn't make more shots, and I must admit that I got nervous when I made two in a row. I was never able to hit the money ball," Raheel explained.
"Hey, I'm not happy, either. I bet on myself to hit three in a row."
You can bet on it.
Or, like me, against it.
The online gambling site, My Bookie, is posting odds and taking action on Raheel’s 3-point accuracy. Yes, you can wager real money on Raheel. They’ve set the over/under at 13-1/2, meaning if Raheel sinks 14 or more shots, the “over” wins. If he makes 13 or fewer, the “under” takes the money.
He will shoot the 25 shots like the NBA 3-Point Contest — five shots from five different spots beyond the 3-point arc.
There is a $100 limit on the over/under wager. Let’s not get too crazy here, Raheel is a talk show host, not a pro athlete (his deluded fantasy doesn’t count).
There is an interesting prop bet, too: Will Raheel make three shots in a row during the shoot-around? You can bet up to $100 on that, too.
Naturally, I pulled Raheel into the Gow Media interrogation room, aimed a bright light in his face, and grilled him for insider information. (Talk to me. Look, we can do this the easy way, or we can do this the hard way.”)
“I’ve played basketball since I was 5 years old. I played for Clements High School,” Raheel says.
Wait, did you actually “play” for Clements High?
“Okay, I was on the team at Clements High, but I played a lot in daily practices. And now I play twice a week in an adult recreation league,” Raheel clarifies. “I’m a much better player now, I’m much stronger. I wish I could go back and play high school ball. I’d get more than 5 minutes a game this time.”
I’m in. Eric Sandler, CultureMap’s food editor and I set up a My Bookie account. We’re betting $50 on the “under,” that he’ll make fewer than 13-1/2 shots, and $50 on yes, he will make three shots in a row.
Here’s why I think Raheel will come up short of the over/under. The NBA 3-point line is 22 feet in the corners and 23.75 feet at the top of the key. Raheel brags that he’s a dead-eye shooter. Okay, but the NBA 3-point line is not a natural jump shot for an amateur – yes, Raheel you are an amateur. He will have to put extra oomph to reach the hoop from 23 feet. That will cut into his accuracy.
Steph Curry may be the greatest 3-point shooter in NBA history. Last year, he made 46 percent of his 3-point attempts. For Raheel to go “over,” he will have to make 56 percent of his shots. Raheel waved that fun fact away, “I am better than Steph Curry.”
Remember what I said about deluded fantasy?
“The Met has NBA leather balls. Uh-uh, I’m bringing my own soft college ball. Another thing, I’ve heard the rims at the Met are nice and loose, so the ball has a better chance of falling in,” Raheel said. “I’ve done a few practice sessions and I’m telling you, I’m going over.”
What’s a five-letter word for “deluded” that start with a C and ends with a Y, and is worth 19 points in Scrabble? I’ll spot you the Z.
When I first heard about this bet, I put the over/under number at 6-1/2. I thought, he will cave under the pressure, and once he starts missing, he’ll keep missing and eventually fire air balls. I told Raheel, there will be lots of people watching on Facebook Live, you’ll be nervous because of all your bragging.
Raheel said, “I won’t feel pressure. I’m used to people watching me, there are people watching when I play in my rec league.”
I don’t even know how to respond to that.
Raheel said he is not betting on the contest, to preserve the integrity of the event. Yeah, integrity.
Now, the prop bet is very interesting. While I don’t think Raheel will make 14 or more shots, I do think he can make three in a row. This contest is a groove thing. He will have streaks of missing and streaks of making. I’m betting he will make three in a row at some point.
Under 13-1/2 and yes on three in a row, that’s the smart play. Raheel’s morning show partner John Granato, who dabbles in the manly science of sports betting agrees – under and yes.
As Kramer would say on Seinfeld, “that’s some sweet action.”
Cheer (or jeer) Ramzanali as he takes to the court on Twitter.