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    Tony Predictions

    Tony predictions: A Hamilton sweep as racial diversity wins out in Broadway's banner season

    Fran Macferran
    Jun 10, 2016 | 12:30 pm
    Lin-Manuel Miranda and the cast of Hamilton
    Lin-Manuel Miranda and the cast of Hamilton; it's a Tony favorite.
    Photo by Joan Marcus

    Editor’s Note: In a CultureMap tradition, Hobby Center for the Performing Arts president and Tony Awards voter Fran Macferran shares his take on the favorites for this year's awards.

    This year the Tony Awards are breaking new ground. Hamilton received 16 nominations, which makes it the most nominated production in Tony’s 70-year history. And, it is the leading contender for winning all major categories. With sales heading toward $100 million, journalists are using “juggernaut” to describe the hit show — and it’s no surprise to this Tony voter either.

    Hamilton should win out.

    The wins will be justly deserved for this revolutionary musical with an incredibly talented cast and music and lyrics that are pure genius. Houston audiences will get to experience first-hand just what I am talking about as the national tour will be part of our 2017-2018 Broadway at the Hobby Center season.

    One of the most noted and applauded aspects of Hamilton is the racial diversity of its cast, which is also reflected on Broadway as a whole this season, and in the Tony nominations. It is exciting to see Broadway’s diversity represented in so many of the categories this year.

    This is my 10th year as a voting member for The American Theater Wing’s most famous award. It has been one of the most exciting seasons in recent memory – Broadway is on fire! Besides the media and audience darling of Hamilton, there were so many excellent performances and stories. Here are a few of my thoughts, ahead of Sunday’s award show with predicted winners at the end of this column.

    Best Revival of a Musical
    The Color Purple and Spring Awakening were completely re-imagined and each deserving of a win. To say The Color Purple was “scaled down” doesn’t even begin to describe the bare-bones, dramatic set featuring a backdrop of wooden chairs, mounted in every direction. It was an emotional experience, purely between you and the actors. Spring Awakening was produced with Deaf West Theatre from California where the hearing-impaired audience was top-of-mind. Several of the principal roles did not speak or sing – their parts were signed. It was a goosebump-inducing experience.

    Leading Actors in a Play
    Gabriel Byrne in Long Day’s Journey Into Night delivered a performance that was like attending an acting master class. It was every bit of almost four hours and not a light day in the theater. Tim Pigott-Smith from King Charles III is another strong contender for this award.

    Leading Actresses in a Play
    Lupita Nyong’o is nominated for her role in Eclipsed. She’s got major acting chops and it’s really cool to witness. The skills that won her an Oscar for 12 Years a Slave beautifully and easily transfer from screen to stage. Other notables in this category are Jessica Lange for her work in Long Day’s Journey Into Night and Sophie Okonedo for Arthur Miller’s The Crucible.

    Leading Actors in a Musical
    Hands down, the two from Hamilton are the top contenders with Lin-Manuel Miranda as the creator and “Hamilton” himself taking home the prize. Although fans will agree that Leslie Odom, Jr. in the role of Hamilton’s nemesis “Burr” is completely captivating as well.

    Leading Actresses in a Musical
    I think the race is between Cynthia Erivo from The Color Purple and Phillipa Soo from Hamilton. Erivo was off-the-charts as “Celie” and received a standing ovation in the middle of the show for one of her songs. Other nominees include Jessie Mueller for her role in Waitress, which I hope has a future life on the road. Carmen Cusak from Bright Star has a promising career ahead of her. She delivered an outstanding performance as well, but the competition in this category is too strong to overcome this year.

    Actors in a Featured Role in a Musical
    Daveed Diggs as “Jefferson” in Hamilton will take it. There are two other actors from Hamilton in this category. Jonathan Groff, who originated the role of Melchior in Spring Awakening, delivered a memorable performance as “King George.” I am glad I saw him in this role before he left the show; he was terrific! Christopher Jackson as “George Washington” was excellent, but the Tony will most likely go to Mr. Diggs.

    Actresses in a Featured Role in a Musical
    The race is between Danielle Brooks from The Color Purple and Renee Elise Goldsberry from Hamilton. Goldsberry as “Angelica” has a gorgeous voice. It is stunning. Everything about her is amazing. We shall see what Tony voters think on Sunday night.

    Sets
    Hands down the award for Best Scenic Design of a Play should go to Jan Versweyveld from Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge. In a musical, it is likely that David Korins from Hamilton will win. Yet, Es Devlin and Finn Ross from American Psycho will give it a run for the money. It is an edgy and interesting show.

    Wardrobe
    I think Best Costume Design for a Play will be awarded to Jane Greenwood of Long Day’s Journey Into Night. In a Musical, it will be tough to beat Paul Tazewell from Hamilton. There are so many actors. The sheer volume of cast to clothe is worthy of a win here.

    Directors
    The Tony for Best Direction of a Play should go to Ivo Van Hove who directed Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge. This is his year. And Thomas Kail from Hamilton is definitely the frontrunner for Best Direction of a Musical. The director award doesn’t always follow the winner of Best Musical, but in this case Hamilton probably won’t be denied a win for both.

    Choreography
    Best Choreography looks to be a win for Hamilton again for Andy Blankenbuehler’s magnificent work. I would be shocked if he doesn’t win here. The set includes a large turntable creating constant and really interesting movement and transitions onstage, which is only a fraction of what makes Blankenbuehler’s genre-transcendent choreography so remarkable.

    Music
    There are no other contenders. Lin-Manuel Miranda will get the win for Best Book of a Musical and Best Original Score. Best Orchestrations usually follows who wins Best Score, so Hamilton again should win for Alex Lacamoire’s work.

    Missing In Action
    Surprisingly though, some terrific productions and celebrated talents did not receive more attention. Topping my list of surprises is the musical On Your Feet!, The Story of Emilio & Gloria Estefan, receiving only one nod for Choreography. Then, multi-talented actress Audra McDonald and American greats from The Gin Game, James Earl Jones and Cicely Tyson, were also missing from this year’s list.

    The picks below reflect my opinions only, and not necessarily even my personal favorites nor do they necessarily reflect how I voted.

    Best Play: The Humans
    Best Musical: Hamilton
    Best Revival Of a Play: Too close to call
    Best Revival Of a Musical: Toss up between The Color Purple and Spring Awakening
    Best Book of a Musical: Hamilton/Lin-Manuel Miranda
    Best Original Score Written for the Theatre: Hamilton/Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play: Gabriel Byrne for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play: Jessica Lange for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical: Toss up between Lin-Manuel Miranda for Hamilton and Leslie Odom, Jr. for Hamilton
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical: Cynthia Erivo for The Color Purple
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play: Toss up between Reed Birney for The Humans and Michael Shannon for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play: Too close to call
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical: Daveed Diggs for Hamilton
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical: Renee Elise Goldsberry for Hamilton

    The Broadway at the Hobby Center 2016-2017 season begins in October with a special engagement of the farewell tour of Mamma Mia! followed in November by Jersey Boys — a winner of four Tony Awards, including Best Musical. For more information on the entire season, click here.

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    Movie Review

    Chris Pratt fights for his innocence in popcorn thriller Mercy

    Alex Bentley
    Jan 23, 2026 | 2:00 pm
    Chris Pratt in Mercy
    Photo courtesy Amazon Content Services
    Chris Pratt in Mercy.

    It seems like every other movie set in modern times being released these days includes either a reference to or a plot revolving around artificial intelligence. In the real world, the benefits of the technology compete with its downsides, but when it comes to movies A.I. is almost always seen as a threat, including in the new film Mercy.

    The audience is thrown headlong into the slightly futuristic story involving LAPD Detective Chris Raven (Chris Pratt), who finds himself strapped in a chair in a sparse room, being told that he is on trial for killing his wife. Turns out he’s in a court dubbed “Mercy,” which is overseen by an AI judge named Maddox (Rebecca Ferguson). By the rules of the court, Raven has 90 minutes to provide reasonable doubt of his guilt, or he will be executed on the spot.

    Raven is in a multi-pronged quandary: Not only does he believe he’s innocent despite a trove of evidence pointing to his guilt, but he’s also the poster boy for the law enforcement side of the equation, having arrested the first man who went to Mercy. Anger and disbelief for Raven turn into acceptance, which then turns into him tapping into his detective skills, scrutinizing every shred of evidence the court provides him in a desperate attempt to save his own life.

    Directed by Timur Bekmambetov and written by Marco van Belle, the film is a relatively propulsive thriller despite having a so-so story and even worse acting. The film is told in real time (with a few fudges here and there), so the concept alone of a man trying to prove his innocence in a short amount of time provides good intrigue. Bekmambetov’s use of digital elements as Raven scrolls through files or calls potentially exculpatory witnesses like his partner, Jaq Diallo (Kali Reis), keeps the film visually interesting.

    On the other hand, the swift viewing of videos and documents by Raven, not to mention the high degree of cooperation by Judge Maddox, opens up more than a few plot holes. The filmmakers try to explain away a few leaps in logic by having Raven falling off the sobriety wagon the night before, but they can only use that excuse for so long. They also have the AI judge experience technical glitches along the way, errors that seem to point toward a wider conspiracy until they’re completely forgotten.

    More than anything, it’s difficult to get over the wooden acting of Pratt and the misuse of other usually reliable actors. Pratt has no real presence, especially when he’s confined to a chair, so any emotion he tries to conjure up comes off as contrived. Ferguson is done no favors by a role that shows only her upper body and has her alternating between robotic and oddly sympathetic. Reis earned an Emmy nomination for True Detective: Night Country, but has little to do here, a fate that also takes out Chris Sullivan as Raven’s AA sponsor.

    If you’re okay with turning off your brain for a little while, Mercy can be an enjoyable watch. But if you find yourself scrutinizing why characters make the odd decisions they do, or the wishy-washy way the film approaches AI in general, then you’re likely to find the whole thing lacking.

    ---

    Mercy is now playing in theaters.

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