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    Tony Predictions

    Tony predictions: A Hamilton sweep as racial diversity wins out in Broadway's banner season

    Fran Macferran
    Jun 10, 2016 | 12:30 pm
    Lin-Manuel Miranda and the cast of Hamilton
    Lin-Manuel Miranda and the cast of Hamilton; it's a Tony favorite.
    Photo by Joan Marcus

    Editor’s Note: In a CultureMap tradition, Hobby Center for the Performing Arts president and Tony Awards voter Fran Macferran shares his take on the favorites for this year's awards.

    This year the Tony Awards are breaking new ground. Hamilton received 16 nominations, which makes it the most nominated production in Tony’s 70-year history. And, it is the leading contender for winning all major categories. With sales heading toward $100 million, journalists are using “juggernaut” to describe the hit show — and it’s no surprise to this Tony voter either.

    Hamilton should win out.

    The wins will be justly deserved for this revolutionary musical with an incredibly talented cast and music and lyrics that are pure genius. Houston audiences will get to experience first-hand just what I am talking about as the national tour will be part of our 2017-2018 Broadway at the Hobby Center season.

    One of the most noted and applauded aspects of Hamilton is the racial diversity of its cast, which is also reflected on Broadway as a whole this season, and in the Tony nominations. It is exciting to see Broadway’s diversity represented in so many of the categories this year.

    This is my 10th year as a voting member for The American Theater Wing’s most famous award. It has been one of the most exciting seasons in recent memory – Broadway is on fire! Besides the media and audience darling of Hamilton, there were so many excellent performances and stories. Here are a few of my thoughts, ahead of Sunday’s award show with predicted winners at the end of this column.

    Best Revival of a Musical
    The Color Purple and Spring Awakening were completely re-imagined and each deserving of a win. To say The Color Purple was “scaled down” doesn’t even begin to describe the bare-bones, dramatic set featuring a backdrop of wooden chairs, mounted in every direction. It was an emotional experience, purely between you and the actors. Spring Awakening was produced with Deaf West Theatre from California where the hearing-impaired audience was top-of-mind. Several of the principal roles did not speak or sing – their parts were signed. It was a goosebump-inducing experience.

    Leading Actors in a Play
    Gabriel Byrne in Long Day’s Journey Into Night delivered a performance that was like attending an acting master class. It was every bit of almost four hours and not a light day in the theater. Tim Pigott-Smith from King Charles III is another strong contender for this award.

    Leading Actresses in a Play
    Lupita Nyong’o is nominated for her role in Eclipsed. She’s got major acting chops and it’s really cool to witness. The skills that won her an Oscar for 12 Years a Slave beautifully and easily transfer from screen to stage. Other notables in this category are Jessica Lange for her work in Long Day’s Journey Into Night and Sophie Okonedo for Arthur Miller’s The Crucible.

    Leading Actors in a Musical
    Hands down, the two from Hamilton are the top contenders with Lin-Manuel Miranda as the creator and “Hamilton” himself taking home the prize. Although fans will agree that Leslie Odom, Jr. in the role of Hamilton’s nemesis “Burr” is completely captivating as well.

    Leading Actresses in a Musical
    I think the race is between Cynthia Erivo from The Color Purple and Phillipa Soo from Hamilton. Erivo was off-the-charts as “Celie” and received a standing ovation in the middle of the show for one of her songs. Other nominees include Jessie Mueller for her role in Waitress, which I hope has a future life on the road. Carmen Cusak from Bright Star has a promising career ahead of her. She delivered an outstanding performance as well, but the competition in this category is too strong to overcome this year.

    Actors in a Featured Role in a Musical
    Daveed Diggs as “Jefferson” in Hamilton will take it. There are two other actors from Hamilton in this category. Jonathan Groff, who originated the role of Melchior in Spring Awakening, delivered a memorable performance as “King George.” I am glad I saw him in this role before he left the show; he was terrific! Christopher Jackson as “George Washington” was excellent, but the Tony will most likely go to Mr. Diggs.

    Actresses in a Featured Role in a Musical
    The race is between Danielle Brooks from The Color Purple and Renee Elise Goldsberry from Hamilton. Goldsberry as “Angelica” has a gorgeous voice. It is stunning. Everything about her is amazing. We shall see what Tony voters think on Sunday night.

    Sets
    Hands down the award for Best Scenic Design of a Play should go to Jan Versweyveld from Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge. In a musical, it is likely that David Korins from Hamilton will win. Yet, Es Devlin and Finn Ross from American Psycho will give it a run for the money. It is an edgy and interesting show.

    Wardrobe
    I think Best Costume Design for a Play will be awarded to Jane Greenwood of Long Day’s Journey Into Night. In a Musical, it will be tough to beat Paul Tazewell from Hamilton. There are so many actors. The sheer volume of cast to clothe is worthy of a win here.

    Directors
    The Tony for Best Direction of a Play should go to Ivo Van Hove who directed Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge. This is his year. And Thomas Kail from Hamilton is definitely the frontrunner for Best Direction of a Musical. The director award doesn’t always follow the winner of Best Musical, but in this case Hamilton probably won’t be denied a win for both.

    Choreography
    Best Choreography looks to be a win for Hamilton again for Andy Blankenbuehler’s magnificent work. I would be shocked if he doesn’t win here. The set includes a large turntable creating constant and really interesting movement and transitions onstage, which is only a fraction of what makes Blankenbuehler’s genre-transcendent choreography so remarkable.

    Music
    There are no other contenders. Lin-Manuel Miranda will get the win for Best Book of a Musical and Best Original Score. Best Orchestrations usually follows who wins Best Score, so Hamilton again should win for Alex Lacamoire’s work.

    Missing In Action
    Surprisingly though, some terrific productions and celebrated talents did not receive more attention. Topping my list of surprises is the musical On Your Feet!, The Story of Emilio & Gloria Estefan, receiving only one nod for Choreography. Then, multi-talented actress Audra McDonald and American greats from The Gin Game, James Earl Jones and Cicely Tyson, were also missing from this year’s list.

    The picks below reflect my opinions only, and not necessarily even my personal favorites nor do they necessarily reflect how I voted.

    Best Play: The Humans
    Best Musical: Hamilton
    Best Revival Of a Play: Too close to call
    Best Revival Of a Musical: Toss up between The Color Purple and Spring Awakening
    Best Book of a Musical: Hamilton/Lin-Manuel Miranda
    Best Original Score Written for the Theatre: Hamilton/Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play: Gabriel Byrne for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play: Jessica Lange for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical: Toss up between Lin-Manuel Miranda for Hamilton and Leslie Odom, Jr. for Hamilton
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical: Cynthia Erivo for The Color Purple
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play: Toss up between Reed Birney for The Humans and Michael Shannon for Long Day’s Journey Into Night
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play: Too close to call
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical: Daveed Diggs for Hamilton
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical: Renee Elise Goldsberry for Hamilton

    The Broadway at the Hobby Center 2016-2017 season begins in October with a special engagement of the farewell tour of Mamma Mia! followed in November by Jersey Boys — a winner of four Tony Awards, including Best Musical. For more information on the entire season, click here.

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    Concert News

    Singer-songwriter Sara Bareilles brings Good Grief tour to Houston

    Brianna Caleri
    Jun 4, 2026 | 2:30 pm
    Sara Bareilles
    Photo courtesy of Sara Bareilles
    Sara Bareilles is touring in support of Good Grief, her first new album in seven years.

    Singer-songwriter Sara Bareilles is hitting the stage on her new Good Grief Tour, which promotes not just her new album but also a new documentary, Sara Bareilles: Good Grief. The tour stops at the Hobby Center for the Performing Arts in downtown Houston on October 7

    Bareilles will start the relatively short tour in Boston, Massachusetts, on September 9 and close it out in Seattle, Washington, on October 19. In addition to Houston, she'll stop in Austin at the Bass Concert Hall in Austin on October 6.

    The Good Grief Tour announcement is highly coordinated, setting a preorder date of August 28 for Bareilles' seventh album, Good Grief, and debuting the album's first single, "Home." The documentary will also make its world premiere at the Tribeca Festival on Thursday, June 4. Viewers will get to see the process that brought the album to life as Bareilles returned to the studio for the first time in seven years, since recording the Grammy-winning album Amidst the Chaos.

    Good Grief, which Bareilles produced herself, features work by Charley Drayton, Butterfly Boucher, Misty Boyce, Solomon Dorsey and Rob Moose in the band, and includes collaborations with Brandi Carlile, Andrea Gibson, Ingrid Michaelson, Joe Tippett and Megan Falley. "Hope" was inspired by an interview between Stephen Colbert and Anderson Cooper, making this an especially communal effort.

    “This whole collection of songs felt like transmissions rather than a deliberate attempt to make sense of the world,” said Bareilles in a press release. “My deepest hope is that Good Grief provides some kind of comfort or catharsis.”

    Tickets sales will open with artist, Verizon, and CITI pre-sales on Monday, June 8. General sales start Wednesday, June 10, at 10 am. One dollar from each ticket will go to mental health organization the Jed Foundation via Plus One and Live Nation. All net proceeds from VIP upgrades will go to NAMI (National Alliance on Mental Illness).

    Sara Bareilles — Good Grief Tour dates

    September 9—Boston, MA—MGM Music Hall at Fenway
    September 12—Washington, D.C.—The Anthem
    September 15—Toronto, ON—Massey Hall
    September 18—New York, NY—Radio City Music Hall
    September 21—Philadelphia, PA—The Met Philadelphia presented by Highmark
    September 24—Atlanta, GA—Fox Theatre
    September 25—Cincinnati, OH—Taft Theatre
    September 27—Chicago, IL—The Chicago Theatre
    September 30—Minneapolis, MN—Orpheum Theatre
    October 2—St. Louis, MO—Stifel Theatre
    October 4—Denver, CO—Bellco Theatre
    October 6—Austin, TX—Bass Concert Hall
    October 7—Houston, TX—The Hobby Center for the Performing Arts
    October 12—Los Angeles, CA—Dolby Theatre
    October 13—Los Angeles, CA—Dolby Theatre
    October 16—San Francisco, CA—Bill Graham Civic Auditorium
    October 19—Seattle, WA—The Paramount Theatre

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