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    Time For a Raise

    Average Houston home buyer needs 70% more income than in 2020, study finds

    Lindsey Wilson
    Mar 7, 2024 | 3:23 pm
    House fund jar

    You'll need to save a lot more than change.

    Photo by Sandy Millar on Unsplash

    Of all the things that have changed since the coronavirus pandemic began in 2020, one of the most drastic is the residential real estate market.

    In 2020, according to a new report from real estate company Zillow, a household earning $59,000 annually could comfortably afford the monthly mortgage on a typical U.S. home, spending no more than 30 percent of its income with a 10 percent down payment.

    That was below the U.S. median income of about $66,000, meaning more than half of American households had the financial means to afford homeownership.

    Now, the average U.S. home shopper needs to make more than $106,000 to comfortably afford a home.

    That's a difference of more than $47,000 in just four years. Or, put another way, the income needed to comfortably afford a home is up 80 percent since 2020, while median income has risen just 23 percent in that time.

    In Houston, things are only slightly better. As of January 2024, Zillow has calculated $95,374 as the necessary income benchmark for home affordability here.

    That's a change of $39,779 from 2020 — more than 70 percent — using Zillow's Home Value Index to estimate the typical Houston home price of $300,955.

    Assuming a 10 percent down payment, Zillow's monthly mortgage payment in Houston hovers around $1,920 (compared to the U.S. average of $2,188).

    That monthly mortgage payment on a typical U.S. home has nearly doubled since January 2020, up 96.4 percent. Home values have risen 42.4 percent in that time, with the typical U.S. home now worth about $343,000.

    Mortgage rates ended January 2020 near 3.5 percent, keeping the cost of a home affordable for most households that could manage the down payment. At the time of Zillow's analysis, mortgage rates were about 6.6 percent.

    San Antonio joins Houston on the "affordable" side of the report, with a yearly income of $95,767 needed to afford a $283,161 home, paying $1,807 after 10 percent down.

    Elsewhere in Texas, Dallas has soared past the $100K mark to $121,398, or a $2,340 monthly mortgage on a $366,690 home.

    Austinites need to earn $149,267 yearly to afford a $451,322 home, paying a whopping $2,880 a month.

    California, not surprisingly, requires the highest incomes: San Diego ($273,613) and Los Angeles ($279,250) seem downright cheap compared to San Francisco ($339,864) and San Jose ($454,296), where the latter expects buyers to plunk down nearly $1.5 million for a home and pay almost $10,000 per month in mortgage.

    Seattle and New York round out the eye-popping top of the list, while Pittsburgh, Memphis, Cleveland, and New Orleans are deemed the most affordable. Only Pittsburgh is close to 2020's numbers, requiring $58,232 in income for a $1,286 monthly mortgage.

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    housing affordability news

    This is how much Houston home prices have fallen since 2024

    Amber Heckler
    Jan 16, 2026 | 4:30 pm
    16403 Sheffield Run Drive, Houston home for sale
    Estately.com/
    This home at 16403 Sheffield Run Dr. in Houston's Berkshire Oaks neighborhood is on the market for $309,900.

    A new real estate analysis has revealed housing prices across the Southern United States have seen a major large-scale decline from 2024-2025, with Houston homebuyers experiencing the 11th-steepest "price correction" in the region.

    Houston-area buyers have a better chance of purchasing an affordable home this year after prices cooled 1.5 percent from 2024-2025, the study found.

    Online real estate marketplace Zoocasa compared year-over-year median price changes for single-family homes across 20 cities in the South based on local real estate data. The study also looked at housing affordability in the American West, Midwest, and Northeast.

    In Zoocasa's ranking of the Southern cities where affordability is improving the most, Houston ranked No. 11.

    In 2024, the median price for a single-family home in Houston was nearly $340,000, which has since dropped to $335,000 in 2025. Local sellers may not be happy about cooling prices, but it does make housing more attainable for first-time homebuyers.

    Better housing prices will surely attract even more new residents to the area, especially since Houston was the second-hottest destination for movers in 2025, and its suburbs are still booming in popularity.

    "Affordability is on the rise across Texas, with major cities seeing significant price corrections," the report said. "Most importantly for buyers, the median home price in each of these cities remains more affordable than the national median."

    The national median price of a home in the third quarter of 2025 was $426,800, according to the latest information from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

    Housing affordability elsewhere in Texas
    Dallas was the No. 2 Southern city where housing is becoming more affordable. Dallas-Fort Worth's housing prices fell 5.71 percent from 2024-2025. The median price of a single-family home in North Texas fell from $397,700 to $375,000 during the one-year span.

    In Beaumont-Port Arthur (a metro area east of Houston), housing prices have fallen 4.62 percent year-over-year, making it the metro with the No. 5 steepest price correction in the South. Median home prices dropped to $217,000 in 2025, or $10,500 lower than the year before, the report found.

    Austin's housing prices fell 2.04 percent during the same time span, landing the Capital City in the No. 9 spot. The median price of a single-family home in Austin fell from $437,925 in 2024 to $429,000 last year.

    Surprisingly, San Antonio ranked near the bottom of the list with housing prices increasing by five percent year-over-year. Single-family homes in the Alamo City had a median price just under $300,000 in 2024, which spiked to $315,000 in 2025.

    Housing market predictions in 2026
    Zoocasa predicts the 2026 U.S. housing market is "poised for a steady revival" since mortgage rates have dipped nearly a full percentage point since this time last year. Current interest rates for a a 30-year mortgage are sitting at 6.16 percent, the study said.

    The NAR report additionally found that pending home sales have grown by 2.6 percent year-over-year from 2024.

    "Homebuyer momentum is building," said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. "The data shows the strongest performance of the year after accounting for seasonal factors, and the best performance in nearly three years, dating back to February 2023."

    The top 10 Southern cities where housing affordability is improving the most in 2026 are:

    • No. 1 – Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island, Florida
    • No. 2 – Dallas, Texas
    • No. 3 – Durham, North Carolina
    • No. 4 – Ocala, Florida
    • No. 5 – Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas
    • No. 6 – Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Florida
    • No. 7 – Jacksonville, Florida
    • No. 8 – Atlanta, Georgia
    • No. 9 – Austin, Texas
    • No. 10 – Raleigh, North Carolina
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